The study of the mortality characteristics of SARS-CoV-2 in the territory of the Russian Federation in 2020–2023 using the secondorder phase transition model
https://doi.org/10.22625/2072-6732-2024-16-4-85-90
Abstract
Coronovirus SARSCoV2 has become a serious test for the entire global community in 2020. Its appearance and high speed of spread forced the heathcare system to reorient itself. In our work we focused on studying the mortality data from COVID19 in Russia in 20202023. The exponential mortality increase is considered from the point of view of a secondorder phase transition. Also, using the Hurst method, we searched for the presence of a trend in mortality rate from year to year. Additional criteria are proposed in making decisions on the introduction and removal of restrictive measures. The obtained results should help in solving epidemiological problems when faced with a new infectious agent.
About the Authors
N. V. Yuminova
Research Institute of Vaccines and Sera named after I.I. Mechnikov
Russian Federation
Competing Interests:
Russian Federation
Moscow
Competing Interests:
none
N. A. Kontarov
Research Institute of Vaccines and Sera named after I.I. Mechnikov; First Moscow State Medical University named after I.M. Sechenov
Russian Federation
Competing Interests:
Russian Federation
Moscow
Competing Interests:
none
E. I. Dolgova
Research Institute of Vaccines and Sera named after I.I. Mechnikov
Russian Federation
Competing Interests:
Russian Federation
Moscow
Competing Interests:
none
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Review
For citations:
Yuminova N.V., Kontarov N.A., Dolgova E.I. The study of the mortality characteristics of SARS-CoV-2 in the territory of the Russian Federation in 2020–2023 using the secondorder phase transition model. Journal Infectology. 2024;16(4):85-90. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.22625/2072-6732-2024-16-4-85-90
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