Prediction of severity of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome

Abstract

The aim is to develop a method of early prediction of the severity of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome on the basis of clinical and laboratory data.

A comprehensive clinical and laboratory examination of 144 patients with hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome was carried out in the period of 2–5 days from the onset of the disease. Based on the discriminant analysis of the data obtained, a discriminant model for predicting the severity of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome was developed. The index of accuracy of prognosis of clinical forms of the disease on the basis of the developed discriminant model is 97.4%.