jofinЖурнал инфектологииJournal Infectology2072-6732IPO “АIDSSPbR"10.22625/2072-6732-2026-18-1-98-112jofin-1949Research ArticleОРИГИНАЛЬНОЕ ИССЛЕДОВАНИЕORIGINAL RESEARCHPEST-анализ пандемии COVID-19. Особенности влияния пандемии в мире и в России на различные сообществаPEST-analysis of the COVID-19 pandemic. Peculiarities of the impact of the pandemic in the world and in Russia on various communitiesСахаутдиновА. Р.SakhautdinovA. R.

Сахаутдинов Артур Римилевич – соискатель кафедры инфекционных болезней Первого МГМУ им. И.М. Сеченова.

Москва; тел.: +7-963-137-72-99

Moscow

sahautdinov91@gmail.comРачинаС. А.RachinaS. A.

Рачина Светлана Александровна – заведующая кафедрой госпитальной терапии № 2 Первого МГМУ им. И.М. Сеченова, д.м.н., профессор РАН.

Москва; тел.: 8(495)434-53-00

Moscow

svetlana.ratchina@antibiotic.ruСтрелковаД. А.StrelkovaD. A.

Стрелкова Дарья Александровна – ассистент кафедры госпитальной терапии № 2 Первого МГМУ им. И.М. Сеченова.

Москва; тел.: 8(495)609-14-00

Moscow

dashastrelkova@gmail.comПименовН. Н.PimenovN. N.

Пименов Николай Николаевич – начальник отдела оперативного взаимодействия, мониторинга и ранжирования рисков Координационно-аналитического центра по обеспечению химической и биологической безопасности Института медицинской паразитологии, тропических и трансмиссивных заболеваний им. Е.И. Марциновского Первого МГМУ им. И.М. Сеченова, к.м.н.

Москва, тел.: 8(499)245-33-89

Moscow

n.pimenov@mail.ruФомичеваА. А.FomichevaA. A.

Фомичева Анастасия Александровна – главный специалист отдела оперативного взаимодействия, мониторинга и ранжирования рисков Координационно-аналитического центра по обеспечению химической и биологической безопасности Института паразитологии, тропических и трансмиссивных заболеваний им. Е.И. Марциновского Первого МГМУ им. И.М. Сеченова.

Москва; тел.: +7-915-497-82-26

Moscow

anastasia.fomichova@yandex.ruДе СилваС.Х.Р.De SilvaS.H.R.

Де Силва Саттамбиге Хешан Радиша – студент Первого Московского государственного медицинского университета им. И.М. Сеченова.

Москва; тел.: +7-926-402-33-39

Moscow

heshanradeeshadesilva@gmail.comВласенкоА. Е.VlasenkoA. E.

Власенко Анна Егоровна – ведущий специалист центра доказательной медицины и биостатистики Самарского государственного медицинского университета.

Самара; тел.: +7-961-716-52-60

Samara

vlasenkoanna@inbox.ruНеклюдоваГ. В.NeklyudovaG. V.

Неклюдова Галина Васильевна – доцент кафедры пульмонологии Первого МГМУ им. И.М. Сеченова; ведущий научный сотрудник лаборатории функциональных и ультразвуковых методов исследования Научно-исследовательского института пульмонологии, д.м.н.

Москва; тел.: 8(495)465-53-84

Moscow

nekludova_gala@mail.ruСахаутдиноваГ. М.SakhautdinovaG. M.

Сахаутдинова Гюльнар Муратовна – профессор кафедры поликлинической терапии Башкирского государственного медицинского университета, д.м.н.

Уфа; тел.: 8(347)284-00-46

Ufa

suhoy91@mail.ruСуховаЕ. Е.SukhovaE. E.

Сухова Елена Евгеньевна – декан социологического факультета Смоленского государственного университета, к.с.н.

Смоленск; тел.: 8(4812)700-252

Smolensk

elena-suchova@mail.ruПрошкинаА. А.ProshkinaA. A.

Прошкина Анна Александровна – аспирант Первого МГМУ им. И.М. Сеченова (Сеченовского университета).

Москва; тел.: +7-915-469-27-71

Moscow

proshkina_a_a@staff.sechenov.ruАвдеевС. Н.AvdeevS. N.

Авдеев Сергей Николаевич – заведующий кафедрой пульмонологии Института клинической медицины имени Н.В. Склифосовского Первого МГМУ им. И.М. Сеченова, д. м. н., профессор, академик Российской академии наук.

Москва; тел.: 8(495)708-35-76

Moscow

serg_avdeev@list.ruПервый Московский государственный медицинский университет им. И.М. СеченоваРоссияFirst Moscow State Medical University named after I.M. SechenovRussian FederationСамарский государственный медицинский университетРоссияSamara State Medical UniversityRussian FederationПервый Московский государственный медицинский университет им. И.М. Сеченова; Научно-исследовательский институт пульмонологииРоссияFirst Moscow State Medical University named after I.M. Sechenov; Research Institute of PulmonologyRussian FederationБашкирский государственный медицинский университетРоссияBashkir State Medical UniversityRussian FederationСмоленский государственный университетРоссияSmolensk State UniversityRussian Federation20262703202618198112Copyright © Сахаутдинов А.Р., Рачина С.А., Стрелкова Д.А., Пименов Н.Н., Фомичева А.А., Де Силва С., Власенко А.Е., Неклюдова Г.В., Сахаутдинова Г.М., Сухова Е.Е., Прошкина А.А., Авдеев С.Н., 20262026Сахаутдинов А.Р., Рачина С.А., Стрелкова Д.А., Пименов Н.Н., Фомичева А.А., Де Силва С., Власенко А.Е., Неклюдова Г.В., Сахаутдинова Г.М., Сухова Е.Е., Прошкина А.А., Авдеев С.Н.Sakhautdinov A.R., Rachina S.A., Strelkova D.A., Pimenov N.N., Fomicheva A.A., De Silva S., Vlasenko A.E., Neklyudova G.V., Sakhautdinova G.M., Sukhova E.E., Proshkina A.A., Avdeev S.N.Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.https://journal.niidi.ru/jofin/article/view/1949

Пандемия COVID-19, вызванная коронавирусом SARS-CoV-2, оказалась беспрецедентным вызовом, затронувшим все сферы общества. Ее глубокое воздействие на политические институты, экономику, социальные взаимодействия и технологическое развитие обусловило необходимость комплексного анализа последствий для различных сообществ.

Цель

Цель: проведение PEST-анализа для комплексной оценки влияния пандемии COVID-19 на различные профессиональные сообщества в мире и в России, с акцентом на выявление организационных и социальных последствий для медицинского сообщества.

Материалы и методы

Материалы и методы: в структурированном опросе приняли участие 1768 респондентов из 3 городов Центрального федерального округа России (г. Москва, г. Ярославль, г. Смоленск), представлявших различные профессиональные группы. Параллельно был проведен «scoping review» научной литературы и нормативноаналитических документов с 2020 по 2025 г. по методологии PEST-анализа. Ключевыми словами для поиска являлись: «COVID 19»; «healthcare»; «public policy»; «fiscal support»; «social impact»; «telemedicine»; «mandatory vaccination»; «vaccine technology» и др.

Результаты

Результаты: пандемия оказала комплексное воздействие на все сферы общества, оказавшееся весьма специфичным. Ключевые последствия включали: ужесточение государственного регулирования (политическая сфера), снижение доходов малого бизнеса (69,5% среди респондентов) и нарушение глобальных цепочек поставок (экономическая сфера), рост социального неравенства и психологической нагрузки, особенно среди медицинских работников (социальная сфера), а также ускоренную цифровизацию и внедрение телемедицинских технологий (технологическая сфера). PEST-анализ позволил структурировать эти последствия по 4 ключевым сферам, выявив индивидуальный характер влияния на разные профессиональные сообщества, что подтверждается данными опроса.

Заключение

Заключение: влияние пандемии оказалось масштабным и многосторонним, затронув все ключевые сферы общества. Полученные данные могут служить основой для развития эффективных политик и инициатив, направленных на укрепление устойчивости системы здравоохранения и всего общества к будущим вызовам.

The COVID-19 pandemic posed an unprecedented challenge, impacting all spheres of society. Its profound effect on political institutions, the economy, social interactions, and technological development necessitated a comprehensive analysis of the consequences for various communities.

Aim

Aim. To conduct a PEST analysis for a comprehensive assessment of the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on various professional communities globally and in Russia, with a focus on identifying the organizational and social consequences for the medical community.

Materials and Methods

Materials and Methods. The structured survey involved 1,768 respondents from three cities in the Central Federal District of Russia (Moscow, Yaroslavl, Smolensk), representing various professional groups. A scoping review of scientific literature and regulatory-analytical documents from 2020–2025 was conducted in parallel, following the PEST analysis methodology. The keywords used for the search were: «COVID-19», «healthcare», «public policy», «fiscal support», «social impact», «telemedicine», «mandatory vaccination», «vaccine technology», and others.

Results

Results. The pandemic had a complex impact on all spheres of society, which proved to be highly specific. Key consequences included: tightened government regulation (political sphere), a decline in small business revenues (69.5% among respondents), and disruption of global supply chains (economic sphere); increased social inequality and psychological burden, especially among healthcare workers (social sphere); and accelerated digitalization and the adoption of telemedicine technologies (technological sphere). The PEST analysis helped structure these consequences into four key domains, revealing the unique nature of the impact on different professional communities, which is supported by the survey data.

Conclusion

Conclusion. The impact of the pandemic was extensive and multifaceted, affecting all key sectors of society. The obtained data can serve as a basis for developing effective policies and initiatives aimed at strengthening the resilience of the healthcare system and society as a whole to future challenges.

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.